Davidson
W-L: (15- 5) PR = 84.5806Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 207 H Wofford Big South ( 9-10, 76.3) 14- 5 211 H UNC-Charlotte AAC ( 6- 9, 78.9) 15- 5 215 A Liberty Atlantic Su ( 8-11, 81.7) 13- 6 222 H Coastal Carolina Atlantic Su (10- 8, 81.1) 6- 5 226 A Winthrop Big South ( 6-10, 74.2) 17-13 301 A Queens Atlantic Su ( 3-12, 76.7) 17-10 307 H St Bonaventure Atlantic 10 (11- 8, 82.4) 6- 8 314 A Duquesne Atlantic 10 ( 2-13, 73.1) 20-10 318 H VCU Atlantic 10 (13- 5, 83.2) 5- 7 321 A George Washington Atlantic 10 ( 9- 8, 79.9) 11-10 328 H George Mason Atlantic 10 ( 6-10, 76.0) 17- 3 331 A Clemson ACC (15- 6, 94.7) 5-21 404 A Rhode Island Atlantic 10 ( 6-10, 78.5) 17- 7 411 H St Josephs (PA) Atlantic 10 ( 7-10, 83.6) 13-11 418 A Richmond Atlantic 10 (13- 4, 90.0) 7-16 425 H La Salle Atlantic 10 ( 3-14, 71.6) 20- 3 430 H St Josephs (PA) Atlantic 10 ( 7-10, 83.6) 13- 6 501 H Richmond Atlantic 10 (13- 4, 90.0) 11-10 503 H VCU Atlantic 10 (13- 5, 83.2) 10- 5 508 N Clemson ACC (15- 6, 94.7) 6-19
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
207 H Wofford 14- 5 9 10 -0.64
211 H UNC-Charlotte 15- 5 10 7 + 2.93
215 A Liberty 13- 6 7 2 ++ 5.47
222 H Coastal Carolina 6- 5 1 5 - -3.80
226 A Winthrop 17-13 4 9 -- -5.06
301 A Queens 17-10 7 6 0.52
307 H St Bonaventure 6- 8 -2 4 -- -5.55
314 A Duquesne 20-10 10 10 -0.11
318 H VCU 5- 7 -2 3 -- -4.75
321 A George Washington 11-10 1 3 - -2.31
328 H George Mason 17- 3 14 10 ++ 4.03
331 A Clemson 5-21 -16 -12 - -2.47
404 A Rhode Island 17- 7 10 5 ++ 5.24
411 H St Josephs (PA) 13-11 2 2 -0.34
418 A Richmond 7-16 -9 -7 - -2.24
425 H La Salle 20- 3 17 14 0.00
430 H St Josephs (PA) 13- 6 7 2 ++ 4.66
501 H Richmond 11-10 1 -4 ++ 5.02
503 H VCU 10- 5 5 3 + 2.25
508 N Clemson 6-19 -13 -10 - -2.84
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 226 A Winthrop 17-13 4 9 -- -5.06 307 H St Bonaventure 6- 8 -2 4 -- -5.55 318 H VCU 5- 7 -2 3 -- -4.75 222 H Coastal Carolina 6- 5 1 5 - -3.80 321 A George Washington 11-10 1 3 - -2.31 331 A Clemson 5-21 -16 -12 - -2.47 418 A Richmond 7-16 -9 -7 - -2.24 508 N Clemson 6-19 -13 -10 - -2.84 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 215 A Liberty 13- 6 7 2 ++ 5.47 328 H George Mason 17- 3 14 10 ++ 4.03 404 A Rhode Island 17- 7 10 5 ++ 5.24 430 H St Josephs (PA) 13- 6 7 2 ++ 4.66 501 H Richmond 11-10 1 -4 ++ 5.02 211 H UNC-Charlotte 15- 5 10 7 + 2.93 503 H VCU 10- 5 5 3 + 2.25 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Wofford ( 9-10, 76.3) 14- 5 -23.60 16.57 -1.37 0.87 26.34
3 H UNC-Charlotte ( 6- 9, 78.9) 15- 5 -21.02 19.15 -1.37 0.87 30.80
3 A Liberty ( 8-11, 81.7) 13- 6 -18.22 21.95 1.37 0.87 40.39
3 H Coastal Caroli (10- 8, 81.1) 6- 5 -18.76 21.41 -1.37 0.87 34.72
3 A Winthrop ( 6-10, 74.2) 17-13 -25.75 14.42 1.37 0.87 27.35
3 A Queens ( 3-12, 76.7) 17-10 -23.17 17.00 1.37 0.87 31.82
3 H St Bonaventure (11- 8, 82.4) 6- 8 -17.51 22.66 -1.37 0.87 -8.17
3 A Duquesne ( 2-13, 73.1) 20-10 -26.79 13.37 1.37 0.87 25.54
3 H VCU (13- 5, 83.2) 5- 7 -16.70 23.47 -1.37 0.87 -7.82
3 A George Washing ( 9- 8, 79.9) 11-10 -19.99 20.17 1.37 0.87 37.32
3 H George Mason ( 6-10, 76.0) 17- 3 -23.93 16.24 -1.37 0.87 25.77
3 A Clemson (15- 6, 94.7) 5-21 -5.16 35.01 1.37 0.87 -1.64
3 A Rhode Island ( 6-10, 78.5) 17- 7 -21.45 18.72 1.37 0.87 34.80
3 H St Josephs (PA ( 7-10, 83.6) 13-11 -16.29 23.88 -1.37 0.87 38.99
3 A Richmond (13- 4, 90.0) 7-16 -9.93 30.24 1.37 0.87 -3.71
3 H La Salle ( 3-14, 71.6) 20- 3 -28.27 11.90 -1.37 0.87 18.24
3 H St Josephs (PA ( 7-10, 83.6) 13- 6 -16.29 23.88 -1.37 0.87 38.99
3 H Richmond (13- 4, 90.0) 11-10 -9.93 30.24 -1.37 0.87 50.02
3 H VCU (13- 5, 83.2) 10- 5 -16.70 23.47 -1.37 0.87 38.29
3 N Clemson (15- 6, 94.7) 6-19 -5.16 35.01 -0.00 0.87 -2.24
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475.79
|
winning pts = 499.3695 losing points = -23.5827
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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